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Theory of Change

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The Path to Change

The Theory of Change underpins an organization's Impact Model, which helps demonstrate and communicate impact. It describes how and why a particular intervention is expected to lead to desired long-term impacts. In practice, this theory is often expressed through two key tools: the Problem Tree analysis and the Logic Model.
 

The Problem Tree analysis serves as the diagnostic component. It visually maps out the central problem, breaking it down into its root causes and effects. By doing so, it identifies where the organization’s interventions can be most effective. This detailed mapping helps clarify the underlying issues that need to be addressed, forming the starting point of the Theory of Change.

Building on the problem’s causes and sub-causes, the Logic Model translates the Theory of Change into a structured pathway, explaining the sequence from inputs and activities to outputs, outcomes, and ultimately the impact. The Logic Model not only shows the “if-then” relationships (i.e., if we invest in certain activities, then we expect specific outputs and outcomes) but also incorporates the assumptions behind these linkages. The Logic Model makes the Theory of Change tangible, measurable, and open to monitoring and evaluation.

With love
Boutique Team

“My theory of change is that there are already millions of people working day in and day out on the ground to deliver on promises on global change. We need to strengthen those institutions and help those people in the field.”

CHRIS HUGES

Additionality in the context of value - Bárbara & João in Person Session
Theory of Change by Bárbara
How to Use a Problem Tree Analysis
Theory of Change
Erasmus+ How to write a project (Problem tree)
Theory of Change
Exercício de Reflexão - Que impactos reais provoco?
Theory of Change: The Blueprint for Lasting Social Impact
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MUST READ 

Theory of Change Basics:
A Practical Primer

"Theory of Change Basics" is a primer on the Theory of Change (ToC) methodology, providing a structured approach for planning and evaluation. It emphasizes defining long-term goals and mapping out necessary preconditions in a causal framework. The document highlights key components of ToC, including identifying assumptions, developing rationales, and selecting strategic interventions. Furthermore, it details the importance of measurable indicators to track progress and ensure accountability. The primer also stresses the significance of quality review throughout the ToC construction to make sure your theory is plausible, doable, and testable. Finally, the document advocates for a narrative summary to communicate the theory's key elements.

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real-life examples

LEARN BY STUDYING

A network of social entrepreneurs that uses the Theory of Change framework to scale impact, ensuring that their interventions drive long-term systems change in various sectors.

Ashoka
GLOBAL

A sustainability non-profit that applies ToC to align corporate and institutional strategies with systemic regenerative impact, helping organizations transition towards sustainable futures.

Forum for the Future
UK

fundamental questions

LEARN BY ASKING

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Which causes and sub-causes of your main problem is your initiative addressing?

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What assumptions am I making about how change happens in my sector or community?

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How can my Theory of Change evolve over time based on learning and adaptation?

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What key interventions are necessary to drive systemic change?

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How will I measure progress and ensure accountability?

"A life is not important
except in the
impact it has on other lives."

JACKIE ROBINSON

frameworks

LEARN BY APPLYING

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Logic Model

Examples of logic models that other people have found effective. 

SEEA Logic chain

ADDITIONAL RESOURCES

LEARN BY PRACTICING

assignments

01

Create your Logic Model and Problem Tree

MANDATORY

Deadline: 11th April

02

RECOMMENDED

Deadline: 11th April

03

EXTRA

Deadline: 11th April

Answer the fundamental questions 

Key content to help you complete these assigments

01

Estimated Time: 1 Min

02

Estimated Time: 23 Min

03

Estimated Time: 17 Min

04

Estimated Time: 15 Min

05

Estimated Time: 60 Min

Still having doubts?

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Online Clarification Session 

 15th April​

6 - 7:30 PM (Lisbon Time)

Below, you’ll find the assignments grouped into three categories to help you prioritize your work effectively. Mandatory exercises are essential and must be completed. Recommended assignments will strengthen your understanding and are highly encouraged. If you have additional time and want to explore further, dive into the Extra category to deepen your knowledge of the topic.

To support you, we’ve also curated a list of key content from the hub. This content was carefully selected to help you complete the assignment, and includes an estimated time commitment for each item so you can better plan your learning journey.

Once you've completed your exercises, please upload your responses to your organization workbook using the link you received by email.

Having questions? Doubts? Thoughts you would like to share?

We are here for you. Reach out to info@boutique-impact.com and we'll come back to you​ shortly.

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DEVELOPED BY

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IN PARTNERSHIP WITH

FUNDED BY

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